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TROUBLE ON THE HORIZON: SOUTHERN AFRICA’S SECURITY SQUEEZE

13 Feb 2026

Southern Africa’s political and security crises are no longer isolated problems. They are merging into a regional risk environment that is steadily raising costs for trade, investment, and logistics.
A recently released (Feb 26) Centre for Risk Analysis (CRA) report entitled “Trouble on the Horizon”, argues that Mozambique’s fragile political order, the entrenched insurgency in Cabo Delgado, Zimbabwe’s institutional decay, and South Africa’s declining defence capability now reinforce one another.

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SONA RESPONSE

13 Feb 2026

In his 2026 State of the Nation Address, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced the deployment of the South African National Defence Force to support the police in Gauteng and the Western Cape in combating organised crime, gang violence and illegal mining. The move signals that government recognises the scale and seriousness of the threat syndicates now pose to economic stability.

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Demonstrations likely around 2026 SONA – Cape Town CBD (12 Feb 2026)

10 Feb 2026

Protests and demonstrations are likely before, during and after the 2026 State of the Nation Address (SONA), expected to take place at Cape Town City Hall (Cape Town Central, Western Cape) on 12 February 2026.

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SONA is a Reminder: South Africa Remains Highly Prone to Protest Activity

10 Feb 2026

As Cape Town prepares to host the 2026 State of the Nation Address (SONA), public attention will understandably focus on the event itself and the likelihood of demonstrations around Parliament and the CBD.

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Crime at a Crossroads: SA Faces Global Organised Crime Squeeze

17 Dec 2025

As the world grapples with organised crime reshaping borders and economies, South Africa's position in the latest Global Organised Crime Index 2025 paints a stark picture of vulnerability amid shifting criminal tides.

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South Africa’s Latest Crime Statistics Show a Shift – And Signal the Need for Stronger Partnerships in Public Safety

02 Dec 2025

South Africa’s latest official crime statistics, released on 28 November 2025, offer a mixed picture of progress and persistent challenges. While the country recorded a slight decline in murders, the release of the data comes against the backdrop of an unprecedented policing scandal, one that has raised serious questions about criminal infiltration into state institutions.

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Planned Demonstrations

12 Nov 2025

Information received indicates planned demonstrations in several provinces on Monday, 17 November 2025, reportedly linked to members and supporters of the South Africa Inclusive Economy Indaba movement.

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RISK ADVISORY

06 Oct 2025

Excellerate Services advises all clients and staff of potential disruptions associated with planned and unplanned demonstrations expected to take place on Tuesday, 07 October 2025.

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ADVANCED PROTEST ALERT - Nationwide COSATU Industrial Action – 07 October 2025

01 Oct 2025

The Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) has announced plans to embark on nationwide protected industrial action on Tuesday, 07 October 2025. The action forms part of COSATU’s annual National Day of Action and aligns with the Worldwide Day of Decent Work (WWDW).

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